Forecasts of Selected Business Cycle Indicators for the U.S. Economy*

 

[Philip Rothman, Department of Economics, East Carolina University]

 

 

 

Executive Summary: Latest Forecasts

 

Series

Period

Forecast Value

CPI (Growth Rate)

January 2009

0.1%

Core CPI (Growth Rate)

January 2009

 0.1%

Payroll Employment (Change)

January 2010

-36,000

Real GDP (Annualized Growth Rate)

2009:Q4

4.2%

Real Personal Consumption Expenditures (Growth Rate)

December 2009

0.4%

Unemployment Insurance Claims

Week Ending February 6, 2010

477,000

Unemployment Rate

January 2010

 10.0%

 

 

How Forecasts Are Generated

 

 

More Details:

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Last updated: February 7, 2010. Link to: Philip Rothman's Home Page

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